Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr says he won’t decide on his coaching future for “a week or two.” Since the Warriors’ season ended in a play-in loss to the Phoenix Suns on Friday, all the signs point to Kerr leaving the team he’s coached for the last dozen seasons.

Kerr shared an emotional moment with Stephen Curry and Draymond Green at the end of Friday’s loss, an embrace that had the feeling of finality. Subsequent news regarding injuries, other contract extensions, players’ opinions and Kerr’s own words imply the four-time champion is leaving.

Steve Kerr’s own comments suggest he’s moving on

One week before the end of the season, Kerr told ESPN that he thought his chances of coming back to the Warriors were “somewhere around 50-50,” hardly an enthusiastic sentiment. After Friday’s loss, Kerr told reporters, “These jobs have an expiration date.”

It was a tough season for Kerr, and not just because Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody suffered season-ending knee injuries and Curry missed 39 games. The Warriors started the season 13-15, and Kerr received more criticism than in any season of his career. Much of that was fueled by the uncertainty regarding Jonathan Kuminga, who Kerr liked far less than Warriors management, who nonetheless held onto the young forward long after his unhappiness was unclear.

Kerr’s players have expressed the hope that he’d continue as head coach, but management may not feel the same way, especially after paying Kerr $17.5M last season and could have a luxury tax bill of around $68M on top of their $208M payroll. If ownership wants to cut costs, one of the NBA’s highest-paid coaches is an obvious place to start.

Golden State Warriors could make big changes

Golden State announced Monday that the team had extended general manager Mike Dunleavy, Jr., showing ownership’s approval of his recent personnel and draft decisions. If Kerr is 50-50 about his future, it feels unlikely he’d want to sign a similarly long-term extension.

One player who knows Kerr well thinks he’s coached his last game in San Francisco. On his podcast, Green expressed support for Kerr but doubts about his future.

“I hope he’s our coach next year,” Green said. “You want my opinion? I think not. It felt like that was it.”

There are signs that Butler, who is recovering from a torn ACL suffered at the end of January, won’t be ready until near the end of the season — and may focus on being ready for his free agency in the summer of 2027. Every player not named Steph Curry could potentially be traded, including Green and Butler. There’s even a scenario where the team goes into a rebuild and 17-year Warrior Curry requests a trade.

The Warriors won’t know about Kerr’s future for at least another week. Right now, it’s looking more and more like coaching the Warriors next season is not going to be part of it.